1 00:00:04,560 --> 00:00:06,710 Hello, it's Scott Manley here. This had 2 00:00:06,710 --> 00:00:06,720 Hello, it's Scott Manley here. This had 3 00:00:06,720 --> 00:00:08,790 Hello, it's Scott Manley here. This had been looking like a great week for Blue 4 00:00:08,790 --> 00:00:08,800 been looking like a great week for Blue 5 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:12,150 been looking like a great week for Blue Origin right up until 900 p.m. uh East 6 00:00:12,150 --> 00:00:12,160 Origin right up until 900 p.m. uh East 7 00:00:12,160 --> 00:00:14,629 Origin right up until 900 p.m. uh East Coast time when their latest new Glenn 8 00:00:14,629 --> 00:00:14,639 Coast time when their latest new Glenn 9 00:00:14,639 --> 00:00:17,590 Coast time when their latest new Glenn booster exploded during a test firing. 10 00:00:17,590 --> 00:00:17,600 booster exploded during a test firing. 11 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:20,390 booster exploded during a test firing. Um so this footage is from NASA Space 12 00:00:20,390 --> 00:00:20,400 Um so this footage is from NASA Space 13 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:22,630 Um so this footage is from NASA Space Flight, their Space Coast live stream. 14 00:00:22,630 --> 00:00:22,640 Flight, their Space Coast live stream. 15 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:24,950 Flight, their Space Coast live stream. Uh they had cameras at the site and they 16 00:00:24,950 --> 00:00:24,960 Uh they had cameras at the site and they 17 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:26,870 Uh they had cameras at the site and they caught it. They caught it from a bunch 18 00:00:26,870 --> 00:00:26,880 caught it. They caught it from a bunch 19 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,349 caught it. They caught it from a bunch of different angles. And if you want to 20 00:00:29,349 --> 00:00:29,359 of different angles. And if you want to 21 00:00:29,359 --> 00:00:31,269 of different angles. And if you want to watch all their angles, you can go and 22 00:00:31,269 --> 00:00:31,279 watch all their angles, you can go and 23 00:00:31,279 --> 00:00:33,430 watch all their angles, you can go and watch their stream. I just want to talk 24 00:00:33,430 --> 00:00:33,440 watch their stream. I just want to talk 25 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:35,910 watch their stream. I just want to talk about what I see here and what are the 26 00:00:35,910 --> 00:00:35,920 about what I see here and what are the 27 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:38,069 about what I see here and what are the implications because while this looks 28 00:00:38,069 --> 00:00:38,079 implications because while this looks 29 00:00:38,079 --> 00:00:41,430 implications because while this looks like a fairly big explosion, uh its 30 00:00:41,430 --> 00:00:41,440 like a fairly big explosion, uh its 31 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:44,150 like a fairly big explosion, uh its effects are far beyond the fireball that 32 00:00:44,150 --> 00:00:44,160 effects are far beyond the fireball that 33 00:00:44,160 --> 00:00:46,790 effects are far beyond the fireball that we are witnessing. So let's put the 34 00:00:46,790 --> 00:00:46,800 we are witnessing. So let's put the 35 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:49,029 we are witnessing. So let's put the situation in perspective. Back in April, 36 00:00:49,029 --> 00:00:49,039 situation in perspective. Back in April, 37 00:00:49,039 --> 00:00:51,350 situation in perspective. Back in April, we had the launch of New Glenn Flight 38 00:00:51,350 --> 00:00:51,360 we had the launch of New Glenn Flight 39 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:53,670 we had the launch of New Glenn Flight number three. This was with the booster 40 00:00:53,670 --> 00:00:53,680 number three. This was with the booster 41 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:55,670 number three. This was with the booster never tell me the odd. And while the 42 00:00:55,670 --> 00:00:55,680 never tell me the odd. And while the 43 00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:58,470 never tell me the odd. And while the booster operated flawlessly, there was a 44 00:00:58,470 --> 00:00:58,480 booster operated flawlessly, there was a 45 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:00,790 booster operated flawlessly, there was a problem with the upper stage. That 46 00:01:00,790 --> 00:01:00,800 problem with the upper stage. That 47 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:03,590 problem with the upper stage. That problem resulted in the payload from AS 48 00:01:03,590 --> 00:01:03,600 problem resulted in the payload from AS 49 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:05,429 problem resulted in the payload from AS Space Mobile being deployed into a 50 00:01:05,429 --> 00:01:05,439 Space Mobile being deployed into a 51 00:01:05,439 --> 00:01:07,590 Space Mobile being deployed into a useless orbit and deorbiting soon 52 00:01:07,590 --> 00:01:07,600 useless orbit and deorbiting soon 53 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,149 useless orbit and deorbiting soon afterwards. The FAA asked for an 54 00:01:10,149 --> 00:01:10,159 afterwards. The FAA asked for an 55 00:01:10,159 --> 00:01:12,390 afterwards. The FAA asked for an investigation because if the upper stage 56 00:01:12,390 --> 00:01:12,400 investigation because if the upper stage 57 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:14,230 investigation because if the upper stage didn't relight its engines correctly, it 58 00:01:14,230 --> 00:01:14,240 didn't relight its engines correctly, it 59 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:16,070 didn't relight its engines correctly, it could result in it being de-orbited in 60 00:01:16,070 --> 00:01:16,080 could result in it being de-orbited in 61 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:19,030 could result in it being de-orbited in the wrong location. That investigation 62 00:01:19,030 --> 00:01:19,040 the wrong location. That investigation 63 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:21,670 the wrong location. That investigation closed uh just last week. The conclusion 64 00:01:21,670 --> 00:01:21,680 closed uh just last week. The conclusion 65 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:23,510 closed uh just last week. The conclusion was that there was a propellant leak 66 00:01:23,510 --> 00:01:23,520 was that there was a propellant leak 67 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:25,749 was that there was a propellant leak which resulted in a hydraulic valve not 68 00:01:25,749 --> 00:01:25,759 which resulted in a hydraulic valve not 69 00:01:25,759 --> 00:01:27,910 which resulted in a hydraulic valve not operating correctly and resulted in 70 00:01:27,910 --> 00:01:27,920 operating correctly and resulted in 71 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:30,710 operating correctly and resulted in lower thrust from one of the engines. In 72 00:01:30,710 --> 00:01:30,720 lower thrust from one of the engines. In 73 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:32,550 lower thrust from one of the engines. In the meantime, Blue Origin's rocket 74 00:01:32,550 --> 00:01:32,560 the meantime, Blue Origin's rocket 75 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:35,109 the meantime, Blue Origin's rocket factory had delivered its next booster. 76 00:01:35,109 --> 00:01:35,119 factory had delivered its next booster. 77 00:01:35,119 --> 00:01:37,270 factory had delivered its next booster. No, it's necessary. A reference, of 78 00:01:37,270 --> 00:01:37,280 No, it's necessary. A reference, of 79 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:39,350 No, it's necessary. A reference, of course, to Interstellar. And so, Blue 80 00:01:39,350 --> 00:01:39,360 course, to Interstellar. And so, Blue 81 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:40,789 course, to Interstellar. And so, Blue Origin had been expecting the 82 00:01:40,789 --> 00:01:40,799 Origin had been expecting the 83 00:01:40,799 --> 00:01:42,550 Origin had been expecting the investigation to be closed and they were 84 00:01:42,550 --> 00:01:42,560 investigation to be closed and they were 85 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:44,789 investigation to be closed and they were prepared for a rapid return to flight. 86 00:01:44,789 --> 00:01:44,799 prepared for a rapid return to flight. 87 00:01:44,799 --> 00:01:47,270 prepared for a rapid return to flight. The goal, I think, was maybe a first few 88 00:01:47,270 --> 00:01:47,280 The goal, I think, was maybe a first few 89 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:49,590 The goal, I think, was maybe a first few days of June. The payload for this 90 00:01:49,590 --> 00:01:49,600 days of June. The payload for this 91 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:51,109 days of June. The payload for this flight was going to be a batch of 92 00:01:51,109 --> 00:01:51,119 flight was going to be a batch of 93 00:01:51,119 --> 00:01:53,190 flight was going to be a batch of satellites for Amazon's LEO 94 00:01:53,190 --> 00:01:53,200 satellites for Amazon's LEO 95 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:54,469 satellites for Amazon's LEO constellation. And this was going to be 96 00:01:54,469 --> 00:01:54,479 constellation. And this was going to be 97 00:01:54,479 --> 00:01:57,270 constellation. And this was going to be the first really heavy payload that New 98 00:01:57,270 --> 00:01:57,280 the first really heavy payload that New 99 00:01:57,280 --> 00:01:59,350 the first really heavy payload that New Glenn was going to launch. The 48 100 00:01:59,350 --> 00:01:59,360 Glenn was going to launch. The 48 101 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:01,190 Glenn was going to launch. The 48 satellites are expected to weigh just 102 00:02:01,190 --> 00:02:01,200 satellites are expected to weigh just 103 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:03,670 satellites are expected to weigh just under 30 tons, which is still a long way 104 00:02:03,670 --> 00:02:03,680 under 30 tons, which is still a long way 105 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:06,870 under 30 tons, which is still a long way short of the 45 ton payload that was 106 00:02:06,870 --> 00:02:06,880 short of the 45 ton payload that was 107 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:08,949 short of the 45 ton payload that was promised by New Glenn, but it's a bit 108 00:02:08,949 --> 00:02:08,959 promised by New Glenn, but it's a bit 109 00:02:08,959 --> 00:02:10,869 promised by New Glenn, but it's a bit more than what Falcon 9 does with 110 00:02:10,869 --> 00:02:10,879 more than what Falcon 9 does with 111 00:02:10,879 --> 00:02:13,589 more than what Falcon 9 does with Starlink. So, this new booster was mated 112 00:02:13,589 --> 00:02:13,599 Starlink. So, this new booster was mated 113 00:02:13,599 --> 00:02:16,390 Starlink. So, this new booster was mated with an upper stage and was loaded onto 114 00:02:16,390 --> 00:02:16,400 with an upper stage and was loaded onto 115 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:19,110 with an upper stage and was loaded onto the transporter erector and rolled out 116 00:02:19,110 --> 00:02:19,120 the transporter erector and rolled out 117 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,270 the transporter erector and rolled out to the pad in preparation with a test 118 00:02:21,270 --> 00:02:21,280 to the pad in preparation with a test 119 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:23,589 to the pad in preparation with a test fire. Now, Blue Origin didn't tell 120 00:02:23,589 --> 00:02:23,599 fire. Now, Blue Origin didn't tell 121 00:02:23,599 --> 00:02:25,510 fire. Now, Blue Origin didn't tell anyone exactly when to expect it, but 122 00:02:25,510 --> 00:02:25,520 anyone exactly when to expect it, but 123 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:27,270 anyone exactly when to expect it, but just before 9:00 p.m., it was fully 124 00:02:27,270 --> 00:02:27,280 just before 9:00 p.m., it was fully 125 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:30,309 just before 9:00 p.m., it was fully fueled. We saw the deluge system start 126 00:02:30,309 --> 00:02:30,319 fueled. We saw the deluge system start 127 00:02:30,319 --> 00:02:32,790 fueled. We saw the deluge system start and then ignition. In previous static 128 00:02:32,790 --> 00:02:32,800 and then ignition. In previous static 129 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:35,190 and then ignition. In previous static fires, we didn't see any fire like that. 130 00:02:35,190 --> 00:02:35,200 fires, we didn't see any fire like that. 131 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,070 fires, we didn't see any fire like that. Never mind a giant fireball and an even 132 00:02:38,070 --> 00:02:38,080 Never mind a giant fireball and an even 133 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:39,910 Never mind a giant fireball and an even bigger fireball which overloaded the 134 00:02:39,910 --> 00:02:39,920 bigger fireball which overloaded the 135 00:02:39,920 --> 00:02:43,430 bigger fireball which overloaded the sensor which faded to reveal a giant 136 00:02:43,430 --> 00:02:43,440 sensor which faded to reveal a giant 137 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:45,670 sensor which faded to reveal a giant fireball. Whatever happened, it appears 138 00:02:45,670 --> 00:02:45,680 fireball. Whatever happened, it appears 139 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:47,990 fireball. Whatever happened, it appears the tanks ruptured very quickly. The 140 00:02:47,990 --> 00:02:48,000 the tanks ruptured very quickly. The 141 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,710 the tanks ruptured very quickly. The propellant was dispersed and you know we 142 00:02:50,710 --> 00:02:50,720 propellant was dispersed and you know we 143 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:53,270 propellant was dispersed and you know we essentially have over a thousand tons of 144 00:02:53,270 --> 00:02:53,280 essentially have over a thousand tons of 145 00:02:53,280 --> 00:02:55,350 essentially have over a thousand tons of liquid oxygen and methane burning 146 00:02:55,350 --> 00:02:55,360 liquid oxygen and methane burning 147 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:58,470 liquid oxygen and methane burning together producing a mushroom cloud. And 148 00:02:58,470 --> 00:02:58,480 together producing a mushroom cloud. And 149 00:02:58,480 --> 00:03:01,830 together producing a mushroom cloud. And this is like at least 1 kiloton yield. 150 00:03:01,830 --> 00:03:01,840 this is like at least 1 kiloton yield. 151 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:03,990 this is like at least 1 kiloton yield. It's big enough to produce a classic 152 00:03:03,990 --> 00:03:04,000 It's big enough to produce a classic 153 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,229 It's big enough to produce a classic mushroom cloud which disappeared up into 154 00:03:06,229 --> 00:03:06,239 mushroom cloud which disappeared up into 155 00:03:06,239 --> 00:03:08,309 mushroom cloud which disappeared up into the clouds and even showed up on a 156 00:03:08,309 --> 00:03:08,319 the clouds and even showed up on a 157 00:03:08,319 --> 00:03:10,309 the clouds and even showed up on a weather radar. Now, the good news is 158 00:03:10,309 --> 00:03:10,319 weather radar. Now, the good news is 159 00:03:10,319 --> 00:03:11,830 weather radar. Now, the good news is that soon after we found out that 160 00:03:11,830 --> 00:03:11,840 that soon after we found out that 161 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:13,910 that soon after we found out that everyone was accounted for, nobody was 162 00:03:13,910 --> 00:03:13,920 everyone was accounted for, nobody was 163 00:03:13,920 --> 00:03:15,990 everyone was accounted for, nobody was injured, everyone was at a safe distance 164 00:03:15,990 --> 00:03:16,000 injured, everyone was at a safe distance 165 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,550 injured, everyone was at a safe distance because this was an incredibly violent 166 00:03:18,550 --> 00:03:18,560 because this was an incredibly violent 167 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:20,470 because this was an incredibly violent event. The bad news is this is going to 168 00:03:20,470 --> 00:03:20,480 event. The bad news is this is going to 169 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:23,830 event. The bad news is this is going to have effects far beyond Blue Origin. So 170 00:03:23,830 --> 00:03:23,840 have effects far beyond Blue Origin. So 171 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:25,830 have effects far beyond Blue Origin. So yeah, Blue Origin were anxious to return 172 00:03:25,830 --> 00:03:25,840 yeah, Blue Origin were anxious to return 173 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:27,430 yeah, Blue Origin were anxious to return to flight, get their rocket going 174 00:03:27,430 --> 00:03:27,440 to flight, get their rocket going 175 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:28,470 to flight, get their rocket going because they have a whole bunch of 176 00:03:28,470 --> 00:03:28,480 because they have a whole bunch of 177 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:29,990 because they have a whole bunch of things they need to fly and their 178 00:03:29,990 --> 00:03:30,000 things they need to fly and their 179 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:32,630 things they need to fly and their customer Amazon in this case, they are 180 00:03:32,630 --> 00:03:32,640 customer Amazon in this case, they are 181 00:03:32,640 --> 00:03:34,630 customer Amazon in this case, they are working against a deadline to fill out 182 00:03:34,630 --> 00:03:34,640 working against a deadline to fill out 183 00:03:34,640 --> 00:03:37,270 working against a deadline to fill out their uh constellation so that they can 184 00:03:37,270 --> 00:03:37,280 their uh constellation so that they can 185 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:38,949 their uh constellation so that they can actually start operating it, start 186 00:03:38,949 --> 00:03:38,959 actually start operating it, start 187 00:03:38,959 --> 00:03:40,710 actually start operating it, start having customers and not have to 188 00:03:40,710 --> 00:03:40,720 having customers and not have to 189 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:42,229 having customers and not have to negotiate again to retain the 190 00:03:42,229 --> 00:03:42,239 negotiate again to retain the 191 00:03:42,239 --> 00:03:44,229 negotiate again to retain the frequencies that they have acquired. 192 00:03:44,229 --> 00:03:44,239 frequencies that they have acquired. 193 00:03:44,239 --> 00:03:46,550 frequencies that they have acquired. Amazon have also been using Falcon 9, 194 00:03:46,550 --> 00:03:46,560 Amazon have also been using Falcon 9, 195 00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:49,430 Amazon have also been using Falcon 9, Vulcan and Aran 6, but we all know 196 00:03:49,430 --> 00:03:49,440 Vulcan and Aran 6, but we all know 197 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:51,270 Vulcan and Aran 6, but we all know Vulcan is sort of down for the count 198 00:03:51,270 --> 00:03:51,280 Vulcan is sort of down for the count 199 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:53,830 Vulcan is sort of down for the count right now. Uh, Falcon 9 is limited 200 00:03:53,830 --> 00:03:53,840 right now. Uh, Falcon 9 is limited 201 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:55,750 right now. Uh, Falcon 9 is limited because they really only have one east 202 00:03:55,750 --> 00:03:55,760 because they really only have one east 203 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:57,589 because they really only have one east coast launch site now and they can't 204 00:03:57,589 --> 00:03:57,599 coast launch site now and they can't 205 00:03:57,599 --> 00:04:01,270 coast launch site now and they can't they you have only one barge. Aran 6, 206 00:04:01,270 --> 00:04:01,280 they you have only one barge. Aran 6, 207 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:03,110 they you have only one barge. Aran 6, it's never been the swiftest piece of 208 00:04:03,110 --> 00:04:03,120 it's never been the swiftest piece of 209 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:06,630 it's never been the swiftest piece of hardware. AS Space Mobile is also in a 210 00:04:06,630 --> 00:04:06,640 hardware. AS Space Mobile is also in a 211 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:08,229 hardware. AS Space Mobile is also in a similar situation. They were going to be 212 00:04:08,229 --> 00:04:08,239 similar situation. They were going to be 213 00:04:08,239 --> 00:04:10,390 similar situation. They were going to be relying on New Glenn to launch a bunch 214 00:04:10,390 --> 00:04:10,400 relying on New Glenn to launch a bunch 215 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:11,990 relying on New Glenn to launch a bunch of their satellites. Now they're going 216 00:04:11,990 --> 00:04:12,000 of their satellites. Now they're going 217 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:13,750 of their satellites. Now they're going to have to find somewhere else to do 218 00:04:13,750 --> 00:04:13,760 to have to find somewhere else to do 219 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:15,830 to have to find somewhere else to do that and the capacity isn't really 220 00:04:15,830 --> 00:04:15,840 that and the capacity isn't really 221 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,710 that and the capacity isn't really there. And let's not forget that ULA's 222 00:04:18,710 --> 00:04:18,720 there. And let's not forget that ULA's 223 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:21,670 there. And let's not forget that ULA's Vulcan is using the BE4 engines which 224 00:04:21,670 --> 00:04:21,680 Vulcan is using the BE4 engines which 225 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:23,590 Vulcan is using the BE4 engines which were certainly proximate to this 226 00:04:23,590 --> 00:04:23,600 were certainly proximate to this 227 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:25,270 were certainly proximate to this particular failure. They may not be 228 00:04:25,270 --> 00:04:25,280 particular failure. They may not be 229 00:04:25,280 --> 00:04:28,230 particular failure. They may not be responsible, but it's not entirely 230 00:04:28,230 --> 00:04:28,240 responsible, but it's not entirely 231 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:30,469 responsible, but it's not entirely unreasonable to expect that Vulcan might 232 00:04:30,469 --> 00:04:30,479 unreasonable to expect that Vulcan might 233 00:04:30,479 --> 00:04:32,710 unreasonable to expect that Vulcan might have some extra downtime due to this 234 00:04:32,710 --> 00:04:32,720 have some extra downtime due to this 235 00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:35,670 have some extra downtime due to this event. Blue Origin's launch site, Slick 236 00:04:35,670 --> 00:04:35,680 event. Blue Origin's launch site, Slick 237 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:37,990 event. Blue Origin's launch site, Slick 36, is going to have to be rebuilt. 238 00:04:37,990 --> 00:04:38,000 36, is going to have to be rebuilt. 239 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:39,670 36, is going to have to be rebuilt. We've seen one of the Lightning towers 240 00:04:39,670 --> 00:04:39,680 We've seen one of the Lightning towers 241 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:41,110 We've seen one of the Lightning towers has already been knocked down. I'm 242 00:04:41,110 --> 00:04:41,120 has already been knocked down. I'm 243 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:43,030 has already been knocked down. I'm pretty sure the transporter erector is 244 00:04:43,030 --> 00:04:43,040 pretty sure the transporter erector is 245 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:44,629 pretty sure the transporter erector is destroyed. They will need another one of 246 00:04:44,629 --> 00:04:44,639 destroyed. They will need another one of 247 00:04:44,639 --> 00:04:46,710 destroyed. They will need another one of those. They'll probably need to rebuild 248 00:04:46,710 --> 00:04:46,720 those. They'll probably need to rebuild 249 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:49,430 those. They'll probably need to rebuild a lot of their ground equipment and the 250 00:04:49,430 --> 00:04:49,440 a lot of their ground equipment and the 251 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:51,189 a lot of their ground equipment and the only other booster they have is sitting 252 00:04:51,189 --> 00:04:51,199 only other booster they have is sitting 253 00:04:51,199 --> 00:04:53,270 only other booster they have is sitting in that building at the bottom left. It 254 00:04:53,270 --> 00:04:53,280 in that building at the bottom left. It 255 00:04:53,280 --> 00:04:55,510 in that building at the bottom left. It is entirely possible that while never 256 00:04:55,510 --> 00:04:55,520 is entirely possible that while never 257 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:57,350 is entirely possible that while never tell me the odds wasn't being tested 258 00:04:57,350 --> 00:04:57,360 tell me the odds wasn't being tested 259 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:59,350 tell me the odds wasn't being tested that it could still have been damaged by 260 00:04:59,350 --> 00:04:59,360 that it could still have been damaged by 261 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:01,430 that it could still have been damaged by this event. Now, many of you will 262 00:05:01,430 --> 00:05:01,440 this event. Now, many of you will 263 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:03,270 this event. Now, many of you will remember that SpaceX when they had a 264 00:05:03,270 --> 00:05:03,280 remember that SpaceX when they had a 265 00:05:03,280 --> 00:05:05,270 remember that SpaceX when they had a booster explode on the pad, they were 266 00:05:05,270 --> 00:05:05,280 booster explode on the pad, they were 267 00:05:05,280 --> 00:05:07,430 booster explode on the pad, they were able to investigate the problem and get 268 00:05:07,430 --> 00:05:07,440 able to investigate the problem and get 269 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:10,710 able to investigate the problem and get flying again within like 4 months or so. 270 00:05:10,710 --> 00:05:10,720 flying again within like 4 months or so. 271 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:12,710 flying again within like 4 months or so. However, that hides the fact that that 272 00:05:12,710 --> 00:05:12,720 However, that hides the fact that that 273 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,430 However, that hides the fact that that uh explosion happened on pad slick 40 274 00:05:15,430 --> 00:05:15,440 uh explosion happened on pad slick 40 275 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:17,029 uh explosion happened on pad slick 40 and when they returned to flight, they 276 00:05:17,029 --> 00:05:17,039 and when they returned to flight, they 277 00:05:17,039 --> 00:05:20,390 and when they returned to flight, they were able to do that on pad 39. It took 278 00:05:20,390 --> 00:05:20,400 were able to do that on pad 39. It took 279 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:22,790 were able to do that on pad 39. It took them well over a year to get launches 280 00:05:22,790 --> 00:05:22,800 them well over a year to get launches 281 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:25,510 them well over a year to get launches going back from Slick 40 again. Now, 282 00:05:25,510 --> 00:05:25,520 going back from Slick 40 again. Now, 283 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:27,590 going back from Slick 40 again. Now, earlier in the week, Blue Origin were 284 00:05:27,590 --> 00:05:27,600 earlier in the week, Blue Origin were 285 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:29,350 earlier in the week, Blue Origin were celebrating the fact that they had got 286 00:05:29,350 --> 00:05:29,360 celebrating the fact that they had got 287 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:31,510 celebrating the fact that they had got two new lunar landing missions for their 288 00:05:31,510 --> 00:05:31,520 two new lunar landing missions for their 289 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:34,230 two new lunar landing missions for their Blue Moon Mark1 lander. These were both 290 00:05:34,230 --> 00:05:34,240 Blue Moon Mark1 lander. These were both 291 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:37,029 Blue Moon Mark1 lander. These were both missions to deliver rovers to the moon 292 00:05:37,029 --> 00:05:37,039 missions to deliver rovers to the moon 293 00:05:37,039 --> 00:05:40,070 missions to deliver rovers to the moon in advance of Artemis 4. Prior to this, 294 00:05:40,070 --> 00:05:40,080 in advance of Artemis 4. Prior to this, 295 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:41,830 in advance of Artemis 4. Prior to this, there's supposed to be two launches of 296 00:05:41,830 --> 00:05:41,840 there's supposed to be two launches of 297 00:05:41,840 --> 00:05:44,710 there's supposed to be two launches of Blue Moon Mark1 to demonstrate this 298 00:05:44,710 --> 00:05:44,720 Blue Moon Mark1 to demonstrate this 299 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:46,710 Blue Moon Mark1 to demonstrate this capabilities and then take the Viper 300 00:05:46,710 --> 00:05:46,720 capabilities and then take the Viper 301 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:48,870 capabilities and then take the Viper rover to the moon. Blue Moon can't 302 00:05:48,870 --> 00:05:48,880 rover to the moon. Blue Moon can't 303 00:05:48,880 --> 00:05:50,550 rover to the moon. Blue Moon can't launch on anything else. It's too big 304 00:05:50,550 --> 00:05:50,560 launch on anything else. It's too big 305 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:52,550 launch on anything else. It's too big for anyone else's fairings and it's too 306 00:05:52,550 --> 00:05:52,560 for anyone else's fairings and it's too 307 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:55,110 for anyone else's fairings and it's too heavy. And of course, they were really 308 00:05:55,110 --> 00:05:55,120 heavy. And of course, they were really 309 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:58,070 heavy. And of course, they were really hoping to have their HLS demonstrator in 310 00:05:58,070 --> 00:05:58,080 hoping to have their HLS demonstrator in 311 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:01,029 hoping to have their HLS demonstrator in orbit next year in time for Artemis 3. 312 00:06:01,029 --> 00:06:01,039 orbit next year in time for Artemis 3. 313 00:06:01,039 --> 00:06:02,790 orbit next year in time for Artemis 3. What this is saying basically with a 314 00:06:02,790 --> 00:06:02,800 What this is saying basically with a 315 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:06,550 What this is saying basically with a potential one-year standown on New Glenn 316 00:06:06,550 --> 00:06:06,560 potential one-year standown on New Glenn 317 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:09,110 potential one-year standown on New Glenn that knocks a big hole in possible 318 00:06:09,110 --> 00:06:09,120 that knocks a big hole in possible 319 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:11,270 that knocks a big hole in possible Arteimus plans. There will still be 320 00:06:11,270 --> 00:06:11,280 Arteimus plans. There will still be 321 00:06:11,280 --> 00:06:13,270 Arteimus plans. There will still be clips missions flying and the the 322 00:06:13,270 --> 00:06:13,280 clips missions flying and the the 323 00:06:13,280 --> 00:06:15,110 clips missions flying and the the Moonfall drones. Those will fly on a 324 00:06:15,110 --> 00:06:15,120 Moonfall drones. Those will fly on a 325 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:17,990 Moonfall drones. Those will fly on a Falcon 9 with a Fireflies uh you know 326 00:06:17,990 --> 00:06:18,000 Falcon 9 with a Fireflies uh you know 327 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:21,029 Falcon 9 with a Fireflies uh you know elytra stage. But with many months of a 328 00:06:21,029 --> 00:06:21,039 elytra stage. But with many months of a 329 00:06:21,039 --> 00:06:23,350 elytra stage. But with many months of a standown uh a return to flight for New 330 00:06:23,350 --> 00:06:23,360 standown uh a return to flight for New 331 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:25,749 standown uh a return to flight for New Glenn and of course multiple test 332 00:06:25,749 --> 00:06:25,759 Glenn and of course multiple test 333 00:06:25,759 --> 00:06:27,909 Glenn and of course multiple test flights of the Mark1, it's not clear 334 00:06:27,909 --> 00:06:27,919 flights of the Mark1, it's not clear 335 00:06:27,919 --> 00:06:29,590 flights of the Mark1, it's not clear that they will necessarily have all the 336 00:06:29,590 --> 00:06:29,600 that they will necessarily have all the 337 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:32,790 that they will necessarily have all the assets in place that they want for the 338 00:06:32,790 --> 00:06:32,800 assets in place that they want for the 339 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:35,990 assets in place that they want for the planned lunar landing you in 2028. So 340 00:06:35,990 --> 00:06:36,000 planned lunar landing you in 2028. So 341 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:37,830 planned lunar landing you in 2028. So anyway, uh let's go back and actually 342 00:06:37,830 --> 00:06:37,840 anyway, uh let's go back and actually 343 00:06:37,840 --> 00:06:39,430 anyway, uh let's go back and actually take a look at the footage to see if 344 00:06:39,430 --> 00:06:39,440 take a look at the footage to see if 345 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:41,110 take a look at the footage to see if there's anything uh that we notice, 346 00:06:41,110 --> 00:06:41,120 there's anything uh that we notice, 347 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:42,950 there's anything uh that we notice, anything that's worth talking about. So 348 00:06:42,950 --> 00:06:42,960 anything that's worth talking about. So 349 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:45,430 anything that's worth talking about. So I actually rewound the camera to just 350 00:06:45,430 --> 00:06:45,440 I actually rewound the camera to just 351 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:47,430 I actually rewound the camera to just beforehand. This is like, you know, 352 00:06:47,430 --> 00:06:47,440 beforehand. This is like, you know, 353 00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:49,110 beforehand. This is like, you know, running at four times speed. Just so you 354 00:06:49,110 --> 00:06:49,120 running at four times speed. Just so you 355 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:51,350 running at four times speed. Just so you can see there is a lot of condensation 356 00:06:51,350 --> 00:06:51,360 can see there is a lot of condensation 357 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:53,350 can see there is a lot of condensation coming off that rocket. They have loaded 358 00:06:53,350 --> 00:06:53,360 coming off that rocket. They have loaded 359 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:54,950 coming off that rocket. They have loaded a bunch of propellant onto this. Some 360 00:06:54,950 --> 00:06:54,960 a bunch of propellant onto this. Some 361 00:06:54,960 --> 00:06:57,189 a bunch of propellant onto this. Some people said that this was a combination 362 00:06:57,189 --> 00:06:57,199 people said that this was a combination 363 00:06:57,199 --> 00:07:00,790 people said that this was a combination test and a wet dress rehearsal. We don't 364 00:07:00,790 --> 00:07:00,800 test and a wet dress rehearsal. We don't 365 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:02,469 test and a wet dress rehearsal. We don't know exactly how much propellant was 366 00:07:02,469 --> 00:07:02,479 know exactly how much propellant was 367 00:07:02,479 --> 00:07:04,150 know exactly how much propellant was loaded onto the rocket, but we do know 368 00:07:04,150 --> 00:07:04,160 loaded onto the rocket, but we do know 369 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:06,790 loaded onto the rocket, but we do know that a fully fueled New Glenn is over 370 00:07:06,790 --> 00:07:06,800 that a fully fueled New Glenn is over 371 00:07:06,800 --> 00:07:10,230 that a fully fueled New Glenn is over like 1,300 tons. Now, from this side, we 372 00:07:10,230 --> 00:07:10,240 like 1,300 tons. Now, from this side, we 373 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:11,909 like 1,300 tons. Now, from this side, we can't actually see most of the rocket 374 00:07:11,909 --> 00:07:11,919 can't actually see most of the rocket 375 00:07:11,919 --> 00:07:13,909 can't actually see most of the rocket because we have the transporter erector 376 00:07:13,909 --> 00:07:13,919 because we have the transporter erector 377 00:07:13,919 --> 00:07:16,070 because we have the transporter erector in its way. This is another angle from 378 00:07:16,070 --> 00:07:16,080 in its way. This is another angle from 379 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:18,230 in its way. This is another angle from earlier in the day. So, going from the 380 00:07:18,230 --> 00:07:18,240 earlier in the day. So, going from the 381 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:19,670 earlier in the day. So, going from the left, you can see the white building 382 00:07:19,670 --> 00:07:19,680 left, you can see the white building 383 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:21,350 left, you can see the white building which has the boosters with where 384 00:07:21,350 --> 00:07:21,360 which has the boosters with where 385 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:22,629 which has the boosters with where they're integrated with the upper 386 00:07:22,629 --> 00:07:22,639 they're integrated with the upper 387 00:07:22,639 --> 00:07:24,309 they're integrated with the upper stages. To the right of that is the 388 00:07:24,309 --> 00:07:24,319 stages. To the right of that is the 389 00:07:24,319 --> 00:07:26,150 stages. To the right of that is the reinforced lightning tower. To the right 390 00:07:26,150 --> 00:07:26,160 reinforced lightning tower. To the right 391 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:28,710 reinforced lightning tower. To the right of that, we have the booster on its 392 00:07:28,710 --> 00:07:28,720 of that, we have the booster on its 393 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:30,950 of that, we have the booster on its transporter erector. Again, it's we 394 00:07:30,950 --> 00:07:30,960 transporter erector. Again, it's we 395 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:32,550 transporter erector. Again, it's we can't see it cuz it's on the far side of 396 00:07:32,550 --> 00:07:32,560 can't see it cuz it's on the far side of 397 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:35,110 can't see it cuz it's on the far side of that. To the right of that, we have the 398 00:07:35,110 --> 00:07:35,120 that. To the right of that, we have the 399 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:37,029 that. To the right of that, we have the other lightning tower, which isn't quite 400 00:07:37,029 --> 00:07:37,039 other lightning tower, which isn't quite 401 00:07:37,039 --> 00:07:39,270 other lightning tower, which isn't quite as strong. You can see a flare stack and 402 00:07:39,270 --> 00:07:39,280 as strong. You can see a flare stack and 403 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:41,270 as strong. You can see a flare stack and then there's a a water tower which is 404 00:07:41,270 --> 00:07:41,280 then there's a a water tower which is 405 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:42,790 then there's a a water tower which is used to drive the delude system. And 406 00:07:42,790 --> 00:07:42,800 used to drive the delude system. And 407 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:44,790 used to drive the delude system. And right on the very right there you can 408 00:07:44,790 --> 00:07:44,800 right on the very right there you can 409 00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:47,670 right on the very right there you can see the lighthouse. So now going back to 410 00:07:47,670 --> 00:07:47,680 see the lighthouse. So now going back to 411 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:49,350 see the lighthouse. So now going back to just before the event, the camera zoomed 412 00:07:49,350 --> 00:07:49,360 just before the event, the camera zoomed 413 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:50,550 just before the event, the camera zoomed in a bit so you can't see the 414 00:07:50,550 --> 00:07:50,560 in a bit so you can't see the 415 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:52,629 in a bit so you can't see the lighthouse, but you can see those towers 416 00:07:52,629 --> 00:07:52,639 lighthouse, but you can see those towers 417 00:07:52,639 --> 00:07:54,790 lighthouse, but you can see those towers on either side with the red lights that 418 00:07:54,790 --> 00:07:54,800 on either side with the red lights that 419 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:57,270 on either side with the red lights that are used to show aircraft where they 420 00:07:57,270 --> 00:07:57,280 are used to show aircraft where they 421 00:07:57,280 --> 00:07:59,510 are used to show aircraft where they are. Now just before the engines fire, 422 00:07:59,510 --> 00:07:59,520 are. Now just before the engines fire, 423 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:01,110 are. Now just before the engines fire, they're going to activate the water 424 00:08:01,110 --> 00:08:01,120 they're going to activate the water 425 00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:03,510 they're going to activate the water deluge system. So, if you look down the 426 00:08:03,510 --> 00:08:03,520 deluge system. So, if you look down the 427 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:05,589 deluge system. So, if you look down the base, you will see a large amount of 428 00:08:05,589 --> 00:08:05,599 base, you will see a large amount of 429 00:08:05,599 --> 00:08:09,029 base, you will see a large amount of water mist come in as we reach like T0. 430 00:08:09,029 --> 00:08:09,039 water mist come in as we reach like T0. 431 00:08:09,039 --> 00:08:10,550 water mist come in as we reach like T0. By the way, I'm running this at one 432 00:08:10,550 --> 00:08:10,560 By the way, I'm running this at one 433 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,550 By the way, I'm running this at one quarter speed. There we go. You see all 434 00:08:12,550 --> 00:08:12,560 quarter speed. There we go. You see all 435 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:14,869 quarter speed. There we go. You see all that water coming up and then we get 436 00:08:14,869 --> 00:08:14,879 that water coming up and then we get 437 00:08:14,879 --> 00:08:17,110 that water coming up and then we get this very, very bright flash. And I 438 00:08:17,110 --> 00:08:17,120 this very, very bright flash. And I 439 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:20,309 this very, very bright flash. And I freeze framed at exactly that moment. 440 00:08:20,309 --> 00:08:20,319 freeze framed at exactly that moment. 441 00:08:20,319 --> 00:08:23,029 freeze framed at exactly that moment. Now, on a previous test fire, which NASA 442 00:08:23,029 --> 00:08:23,039 Now, on a previous test fire, which NASA 443 00:08:23,039 --> 00:08:25,670 Now, on a previous test fire, which NASA spaceflight also shot, we did not see 444 00:08:25,670 --> 00:08:25,680 spaceflight also shot, we did not see 445 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:28,230 spaceflight also shot, we did not see anything bright like that. So the moment 446 00:08:28,230 --> 00:08:28,240 anything bright like that. So the moment 447 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:30,309 anything bright like that. So the moment that we saw any light coming out of 448 00:08:30,309 --> 00:08:30,319 that we saw any light coming out of 449 00:08:30,319 --> 00:08:32,070 that we saw any light coming out of those engines was the moment that 450 00:08:32,070 --> 00:08:32,080 those engines was the moment that 451 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:34,790 those engines was the moment that something was definitely going wrong. 452 00:08:34,790 --> 00:08:34,800 something was definitely going wrong. 453 00:08:34,800 --> 00:08:36,949 something was definitely going wrong. Now to be clear that light might just 454 00:08:36,949 --> 00:08:36,959 Now to be clear that light might just 455 00:08:36,959 --> 00:08:39,029 Now to be clear that light might just actually be getting scattered by the 456 00:08:39,029 --> 00:08:39,039 actually be getting scattered by the 457 00:08:39,039 --> 00:08:41,269 actually be getting scattered by the deluge system, but at a certain point 458 00:08:41,269 --> 00:08:41,279 deluge system, but at a certain point 459 00:08:41,279 --> 00:08:43,670 deluge system, but at a certain point this is clearly getting out of control 460 00:08:43,670 --> 00:08:43,680 this is clearly getting out of control 461 00:08:43,680 --> 00:08:45,750 this is clearly getting out of control and propagating up the rocket. It is 462 00:08:45,750 --> 00:08:45,760 and propagating up the rocket. It is 463 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:47,750 and propagating up the rocket. It is something that's happening very quickly. 464 00:08:47,750 --> 00:08:47,760 something that's happening very quickly. 465 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:49,269 something that's happening very quickly. And now I want to freeze frame this 466 00:08:49,269 --> 00:08:49,279 And now I want to freeze frame this 467 00:08:49,279 --> 00:08:50,949 And now I want to freeze frame this moment because you can see there is a 468 00:08:50,949 --> 00:08:50,959 moment because you can see there is a 469 00:08:50,959 --> 00:08:53,590 moment because you can see there is a bright spot that has appeared near the 470 00:08:53,590 --> 00:08:53,600 bright spot that has appeared near the 471 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:55,910 bright spot that has appeared near the top of the rocket. Now, some people said 472 00:08:55,910 --> 00:08:55,920 top of the rocket. Now, some people said 473 00:08:55,920 --> 00:08:57,829 top of the rocket. Now, some people said that they think this is the second stage 474 00:08:57,829 --> 00:08:57,839 that they think this is the second stage 475 00:08:57,839 --> 00:09:00,230 that they think this is the second stage starting to explode. I'm not convinced 476 00:09:00,230 --> 00:09:00,240 starting to explode. I'm not convinced 477 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:01,910 starting to explode. I'm not convinced because I think what's really happening 478 00:09:01,910 --> 00:09:01,920 because I think what's really happening 479 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:04,230 because I think what's really happening is that there's just essentially a wall 480 00:09:04,230 --> 00:09:04,240 is that there's just essentially a wall 481 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:07,030 is that there's just essentially a wall of fire, whatever, between the booster 482 00:09:07,030 --> 00:09:07,040 of fire, whatever, between the booster 483 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:09,110 of fire, whatever, between the booster and the transporter erector, and we 484 00:09:09,110 --> 00:09:09,120 and the transporter erector, and we 485 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:11,190 and the transporter erector, and we simply can't see it until it reaches 486 00:09:11,190 --> 00:09:11,200 simply can't see it until it reaches 487 00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:13,590 simply can't see it until it reaches that high. Now, I even wondered whether 488 00:09:13,590 --> 00:09:13,600 that high. Now, I even wondered whether 489 00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:15,590 that high. Now, I even wondered whether there would be propellant in the second 490 00:09:15,590 --> 00:09:15,600 there would be propellant in the second 491 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:17,190 there would be propellant in the second stage. You know, why would you fuel a 492 00:09:17,190 --> 00:09:17,200 stage. You know, why would you fuel a 493 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:19,910 stage. You know, why would you fuel a second stage for a first stage test? You 494 00:09:19,910 --> 00:09:19,920 second stage for a first stage test? You 495 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:21,670 second stage for a first stage test? You know, if this is a wet dress rehearsal, 496 00:09:21,670 --> 00:09:21,680 know, if this is a wet dress rehearsal, 497 00:09:21,680 --> 00:09:23,509 know, if this is a wet dress rehearsal, it might make sense to actually load 498 00:09:23,509 --> 00:09:23,519 it might make sense to actually load 499 00:09:23,519 --> 00:09:25,750 it might make sense to actually load that up. Uh, and certainly having the 500 00:09:25,750 --> 00:09:25,760 that up. Uh, and certainly having the 501 00:09:25,760 --> 00:09:28,949 that up. Uh, and certainly having the second stage full of liquid hydrogen 502 00:09:28,949 --> 00:09:28,959 second stage full of liquid hydrogen 503 00:09:28,959 --> 00:09:31,190 second stage full of liquid hydrogen would definitely make this event a 504 00:09:31,190 --> 00:09:31,200 would definitely make this event a 505 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,230 would definitely make this event a little more uh ferocitor as Blue Origin 506 00:09:34,230 --> 00:09:34,240 little more uh ferocitor as Blue Origin 507 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,710 little more uh ferocitor as Blue Origin would like to say. So, now running again 508 00:09:36,710 --> 00:09:36,720 would like to say. So, now running again 509 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:38,949 would like to say. So, now running again 4 seconds after the engine ignition, 510 00:09:38,949 --> 00:09:38,959 4 seconds after the engine ignition, 511 00:09:38,959 --> 00:09:41,829 4 seconds after the engine ignition, there is this massive flash. And it's a 512 00:09:41,829 --> 00:09:41,839 there is this massive flash. And it's a 513 00:09:41,839 --> 00:09:43,990 there is this massive flash. And it's a just a couple of frames that absolutely 514 00:09:43,990 --> 00:09:44,000 just a couple of frames that absolutely 515 00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:46,630 just a couple of frames that absolutely overwhelms the camera. 516 00:09:46,630 --> 00:09:46,640 overwhelms the camera. 517 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:48,230 overwhelms the camera. And I'm pretty sure at that point the 518 00:09:48,230 --> 00:09:48,240 And I'm pretty sure at that point the 519 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:51,350 And I'm pretty sure at that point the entire booster has just disintegrated. 520 00:09:51,350 --> 00:09:51,360 entire booster has just disintegrated. 521 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:54,630 entire booster has just disintegrated. This doesn't look like the SpaceX Amos 6 522 00:09:54,630 --> 00:09:54,640 This doesn't look like the SpaceX Amos 6 523 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:56,949 This doesn't look like the SpaceX Amos 6 failure where the booster on the pad you 524 00:09:56,949 --> 00:09:56,959 failure where the booster on the pad you 525 00:09:56,959 --> 00:09:58,870 failure where the booster on the pad you could actually see the liquid oxygen 526 00:09:58,870 --> 00:09:58,880 could actually see the liquid oxygen 527 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:01,430 could actually see the liquid oxygen spilling down and turbulently mixing and 528 00:10:01,430 --> 00:10:01,440 spilling down and turbulently mixing and 529 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:04,070 spilling down and turbulently mixing and burning. This case it feels more like a 530 00:10:04,070 --> 00:10:04,080 burning. This case it feels more like a 531 00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:07,509 burning. This case it feels more like a detonation almost. In fact, if we rewind 532 00:10:07,509 --> 00:10:07,519 detonation almost. In fact, if we rewind 533 00:10:07,519 --> 00:10:10,230 detonation almost. In fact, if we rewind and run this section again, you can 534 00:10:10,230 --> 00:10:10,240 and run this section again, you can 535 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:12,710 and run this section again, you can absolutely see a very welldefined 536 00:10:12,710 --> 00:10:12,720 absolutely see a very welldefined 537 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,509 absolutely see a very welldefined pressure wave coming off of this. I 538 00:10:15,509 --> 00:10:15,519 pressure wave coming off of this. I 539 00:10:15,519 --> 00:10:17,350 pressure wave coming off of this. I tried to estimate the speed off it, but 540 00:10:17,350 --> 00:10:17,360 tried to estimate the speed off it, but 541 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:18,949 tried to estimate the speed off it, but I really didn't come up with good 542 00:10:18,949 --> 00:10:18,959 I really didn't come up with good 543 00:10:18,959 --> 00:10:21,670 I really didn't come up with good answers. Those towers are about 150 m 544 00:10:21,670 --> 00:10:21,680 answers. Those towers are about 150 m 545 00:10:21,680 --> 00:10:23,269 answers. Those towers are about 150 m tall if you actually want to try and 546 00:10:23,269 --> 00:10:23,279 tall if you actually want to try and 547 00:10:23,279 --> 00:10:25,350 tall if you actually want to try and figure it out yourself. Speaking of the 548 00:10:25,350 --> 00:10:25,360 figure it out yourself. Speaking of the 549 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,430 figure it out yourself. Speaking of the towers, pay attention to the left one 550 00:10:27,430 --> 00:10:27,440 towers, pay attention to the left one 551 00:10:27,440 --> 00:10:30,389 towers, pay attention to the left one very visibly moving in reaction to the 552 00:10:30,389 --> 00:10:30,399 very visibly moving in reaction to the 553 00:10:30,399 --> 00:10:32,069 very visibly moving in reaction to the forces. That's the one that would 554 00:10:32,069 --> 00:10:32,079 forces. That's the one that would 555 00:10:32,079 --> 00:10:33,590 forces. That's the one that would actually remain standing. The one on the 556 00:10:33,590 --> 00:10:33,600 actually remain standing. The one on the 557 00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:35,910 actually remain standing. The one on the right is the one that falls down, but I 558 00:10:35,910 --> 00:10:35,920 right is the one that falls down, but I 559 00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:37,750 right is the one that falls down, but I can't actually see it falling down. It 560 00:10:37,750 --> 00:10:37,760 can't actually see it falling down. It 561 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:39,350 can't actually see it falling down. It just sort of gets consumed by the 562 00:10:39,350 --> 00:10:39,360 just sort of gets consumed by the 563 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:41,269 just sort of gets consumed by the fireball, and then the next time we see 564 00:10:41,269 --> 00:10:41,279 fireball, and then the next time we see 565 00:10:41,279 --> 00:10:43,110 fireball, and then the next time we see any evidence for it, it's no longer 566 00:10:43,110 --> 00:10:43,120 any evidence for it, it's no longer 567 00:10:43,120 --> 00:10:45,750 any evidence for it, it's no longer there. Anyway, later in the timeline, uh 568 00:10:45,750 --> 00:10:45,760 there. Anyway, later in the timeline, uh 569 00:10:45,760 --> 00:10:48,310 there. Anyway, later in the timeline, uh the camera person has pulled back. We 570 00:10:48,310 --> 00:10:48,320 the camera person has pulled back. We 571 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:50,389 the camera person has pulled back. We can see these trails of what I presume 572 00:10:50,389 --> 00:10:50,399 can see these trails of what I presume 573 00:10:50,399 --> 00:10:53,590 can see these trails of what I presume are COPVS that have been uh unleashed. 574 00:10:53,590 --> 00:10:53,600 are COPVS that have been uh unleashed. 575 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:56,230 are COPVS that have been uh unleashed. They've escaped and they're going a long 576 00:10:56,230 --> 00:10:56,240 They've escaped and they're going a long 577 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:57,670 They've escaped and they're going a long way out. They're going far enough out 578 00:10:57,670 --> 00:10:57,680 way out. They're going far enough out 579 00:10:57,680 --> 00:10:59,430 way out. They're going far enough out that they could have hit that uh the 580 00:10:59,430 --> 00:10:59,440 that they could have hit that uh the 581 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:01,590 that they could have hit that uh the assembly building. So, this is why we're 582 00:11:01,590 --> 00:11:01,600 assembly building. So, this is why we're 583 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:03,829 assembly building. So, this is why we're all concerned about damage happening to 584 00:11:03,829 --> 00:11:03,839 all concerned about damage happening to 585 00:11:03,839 --> 00:11:06,069 all concerned about damage happening to the other booster. Although uh at this 586 00:11:06,069 --> 00:11:06,079 the other booster. Although uh at this 587 00:11:06,079 --> 00:11:07,509 the other booster. Although uh at this point, I think they could very easily 588 00:11:07,509 --> 00:11:07,519 point, I think they could very easily 589 00:11:07,519 --> 00:11:09,190 point, I think they could very easily build another booster. It's the launch 590 00:11:09,190 --> 00:11:09,200 build another booster. It's the launch 591 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:10,870 build another booster. It's the launch site which is going to consume most of 592 00:11:10,870 --> 00:11:10,880 site which is going to consume most of 593 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:13,350 site which is going to consume most of their time and resources. See, I'm told 594 00:11:13,350 --> 00:11:13,360 their time and resources. See, I'm told 595 00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:15,509 their time and resources. See, I'm told this fireball was visible for a long way 596 00:11:15,509 --> 00:11:15,519 this fireball was visible for a long way 597 00:11:15,519 --> 00:11:17,030 this fireball was visible for a long way around. And there are people apparently 598 00:11:17,030 --> 00:11:17,040 around. And there are people apparently 599 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:20,069 around. And there are people apparently who saw it or recognized it. Uh as far 600 00:11:20,069 --> 00:11:20,079 who saw it or recognized it. Uh as far 601 00:11:20,079 --> 00:11:22,389 who saw it or recognized it. Uh as far away as Orlando, which is like 50 miles 602 00:11:22,389 --> 00:11:22,399 away as Orlando, which is like 50 miles 603 00:11:22,399 --> 00:11:24,550 away as Orlando, which is like 50 miles away. Now, this is almost certainly the 604 00:11:24,550 --> 00:11:24,560 away. Now, this is almost certainly the 605 00:11:24,560 --> 00:11:26,949 away. Now, this is almost certainly the biggest blast that has ever been seen at 606 00:11:26,949 --> 00:11:26,959 biggest blast that has ever been seen at 607 00:11:26,959 --> 00:11:29,750 biggest blast that has ever been seen at uh you know, the Cape. It's possible 608 00:11:29,750 --> 00:11:29,760 uh you know, the Cape. It's possible 609 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:31,910 uh you know, the Cape. It's possible this is at least as big as some of the 610 00:11:31,910 --> 00:11:31,920 this is at least as big as some of the 611 00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:34,230 this is at least as big as some of the Starship blasts that have happened in in 612 00:11:34,230 --> 00:11:34,240 Starship blasts that have happened in in 613 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:37,509 Starship blasts that have happened in in Bokh Chica. Uh, however, the Soviet 614 00:11:37,509 --> 00:11:37,519 Bokh Chica. Uh, however, the Soviet 615 00:11:37,519 --> 00:11:40,230 Bokh Chica. Uh, however, the Soviet Union's N1 rocket was definitely bigger 616 00:11:40,230 --> 00:11:40,240 Union's N1 rocket was definitely bigger 617 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:43,190 Union's N1 rocket was definitely bigger and uh, blastier as these things go. 618 00:11:43,190 --> 00:11:43,200 and uh, blastier as these things go. 619 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:45,190 and uh, blastier as these things go. However, I once again want to remind you 620 00:11:45,190 --> 00:11:45,200 However, I once again want to remind you 621 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:47,350 However, I once again want to remind you that it is not a game. This is not a 622 00:11:47,350 --> 00:11:47,360 that it is not a game. This is not a 623 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:49,430 that it is not a game. This is not a sport. This is unfortunately a lot of 624 00:11:49,430 --> 00:11:49,440 sport. This is unfortunately a lot of 625 00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:50,710 sport. This is unfortunately a lot of people are going to have to start 626 00:11:50,710 --> 00:11:50,720 people are going to have to start 627 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:53,670 people are going to have to start dealing with fallout from this. Uh, so 628 00:11:53,670 --> 00:11:53,680 dealing with fallout from this. Uh, so 629 00:11:53,680 --> 00:11:55,110 dealing with fallout from this. Uh, so there is another thing I want to point 630 00:11:55,110 --> 00:11:55,120 there is another thing I want to point 631 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:57,269 there is another thing I want to point out and that is the sound. Now, the 632 00:11:57,269 --> 00:11:57,279 out and that is the sound. Now, the 633 00:11:57,279 --> 00:11:59,030 out and that is the sound. Now, the sound was picked up, you know, several 634 00:11:59,030 --> 00:11:59,040 sound was picked up, you know, several 635 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:00,630 sound was picked up, you know, several miles away. Obviously, there was a bit 636 00:12:00,630 --> 00:12:00,640 miles away. Obviously, there was a bit 637 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:02,069 miles away. Obviously, there was a bit of a lag, but normally when the 638 00:12:02,069 --> 00:12:02,079 of a lag, but normally when the 639 00:12:02,079 --> 00:12:04,470 of a lag, but normally when the something this size explodes, it tends 640 00:12:04,470 --> 00:12:04,480 something this size explodes, it tends 641 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:08,230 something this size explodes, it tends to sound more rumbly. 642 00:12:08,230 --> 00:12:08,240 643 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:11,190 This sounded a lot more like a pop. The 644 00:12:11,190 --> 00:12:11,200 This sounded a lot more like a pop. The 645 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:13,190 This sounded a lot more like a pop. The audio recorded immediately beforehand 646 00:12:13,190 --> 00:12:13,200 audio recorded immediately beforehand 647 00:12:13,200 --> 00:12:15,350 audio recorded immediately beforehand doesn't show any evidence of the engine 648 00:12:15,350 --> 00:12:15,360 doesn't show any evidence of the engine 649 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:17,590 doesn't show any evidence of the engine starting to spool up or fire or anything 650 00:12:17,590 --> 00:12:17,600 starting to spool up or fire or anything 651 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:19,590 starting to spool up or fire or anything like that. It's literally like just like 652 00:12:19,590 --> 00:12:19,600 like that. It's literally like just like 653 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:22,069 like that. It's literally like just like background noise and then pop as that 654 00:12:22,069 --> 00:12:22,079 background noise and then pop as that 655 00:12:22,079 --> 00:12:24,150 background noise and then pop as that tank goes. So, what I'm saying is that 656 00:12:24,150 --> 00:12:24,160 tank goes. So, what I'm saying is that 657 00:12:24,160 --> 00:12:26,710 tank goes. So, what I'm saying is that this event isn't simply something burned 658 00:12:26,710 --> 00:12:26,720 this event isn't simply something burned 659 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:28,949 this event isn't simply something burned and then the fire got worse. This went 660 00:12:28,949 --> 00:12:28,959 and then the fire got worse. This went 661 00:12:28,959 --> 00:12:32,150 and then the fire got worse. This went from zero to destruction in a very very 662 00:12:32,150 --> 00:12:32,160 from zero to destruction in a very very 663 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:34,389 from zero to destruction in a very very small amount of time. As we speak, there 664 00:12:34,389 --> 00:12:34,399 small amount of time. As we speak, there 665 00:12:34,399 --> 00:12:36,389 small amount of time. As we speak, there are still fires burning around the site. 666 00:12:36,389 --> 00:12:36,399 are still fires burning around the site. 667 00:12:36,399 --> 00:12:38,230 are still fires burning around the site. Some of the structures uh are are 668 00:12:38,230 --> 00:12:38,240 Some of the structures uh are are 669 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:40,150 Some of the structures uh are are burning. There are emergency services 670 00:12:40,150 --> 00:12:40,160 burning. There are emergency services 671 00:12:40,160 --> 00:12:42,389 burning. There are emergency services there trying to get get things under 672 00:12:42,389 --> 00:12:42,399 there trying to get get things under 673 00:12:42,399 --> 00:12:44,389 there trying to get get things under control. But we will find out a lot more 674 00:12:44,389 --> 00:12:44,399 control. But we will find out a lot more 675 00:12:44,399 --> 00:12:46,150 control. But we will find out a lot more in the morning as to what is still 676 00:12:46,150 --> 00:12:46,160 in the morning as to what is still 677 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:47,910 in the morning as to what is still standing, what's going to need to be 678 00:12:47,910 --> 00:12:47,920 standing, what's going to need to be 679 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:49,829 standing, what's going to need to be replaced. But this is not going to be a 680 00:12:49,829 --> 00:12:49,839 replaced. But this is not going to be a 681 00:12:49,839 --> 00:12:52,470 replaced. But this is not going to be a quick fix. And then Blue Origin are 682 00:12:52,470 --> 00:12:52,480 quick fix. And then Blue Origin are 683 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:53,910 quick fix. And then Blue Origin are going to have to decide how they're 684 00:12:53,910 --> 00:12:53,920 going to have to decide how they're 685 00:12:53,920 --> 00:12:56,230 going to have to decide how they're going to get back to flight status. How 686 00:12:56,230 --> 00:12:56,240 going to get back to flight status. How 687 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:58,389 going to get back to flight status. How long that's going to be because it turns 688 00:12:58,389 --> 00:12:58,399 long that's going to be because it turns 689 00:12:58,399 --> 00:13:00,389 long that's going to be because it turns out that NASA apparently is really 690 00:13:00,389 --> 00:13:00,399 out that NASA apparently is really 691 00:13:00,399 --> 00:13:02,710 out that NASA apparently is really depending upon them to be a big part of 692 00:13:02,710 --> 00:13:02,720 depending upon them to be a big part of 693 00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:04,710 depending upon them to be a big part of the Aremis program, a big part of lunar 694 00:13:04,710 --> 00:13:04,720 the Aremis program, a big part of lunar 695 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:07,350 the Aremis program, a big part of lunar landing in the next few years. The 696 00:13:07,350 --> 00:13:07,360 landing in the next few years. The 697 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:09,269 landing in the next few years. The factory had been churning out second 698 00:13:09,269 --> 00:13:09,279 factory had been churning out second 699 00:13:09,279 --> 00:13:11,509 factory had been churning out second stages in anticipation of lots of new 700 00:13:11,509 --> 00:13:11,519 stages in anticipation of lots of new 701 00:13:11,519 --> 00:13:13,509 stages in anticipation of lots of new Glenn flights. That's going to be 702 00:13:13,509 --> 00:13:13,519 Glenn flights. That's going to be 703 00:13:13,519 --> 00:13:15,269 Glenn flights. That's going to be stopped. Maybe they'll start working on 704 00:13:15,269 --> 00:13:15,279 stopped. Maybe they'll start working on 705 00:13:15,279 --> 00:13:18,870 stopped. Maybe they'll start working on that uh 9x4 booster instead. Once again, 706 00:13:18,870 --> 00:13:18,880 that uh 9x4 booster instead. Once again, 707 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:20,710 that uh 9x4 booster instead. Once again, I'm glad nobody was hurt. I can't wait 708 00:13:20,710 --> 00:13:20,720 I'm glad nobody was hurt. I can't wait 709 00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:23,030 I'm glad nobody was hurt. I can't wait to see Blue Origin fly again. I'm Scott 710 00:13:23,030 --> 00:13:23,040 to see Blue Origin fly again. I'm Scott 711 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:27,079 to see Blue Origin fly again. I'm Scott Manley. Fly safe.